When it comes to the polls, Donald Trump has something of a California problem. He has a New York problem too. The thing is, he’s always had those. His newest, though? The president now has a Kentucky problem. And that’s not all.
The States that the US president has traditionally polled well in – places like Kentucky, Arkansas, Florida and Ohio – those are places that helped fuel Trump’s return to the White House.
Yet new polling suggests that support for Trump has weakened in all of these states since the start of his second term. That’s right. Every single one.
Fresh figures from polling firm Civiqs show Trump’s approval rating is lower in every state than it was when he returned to office back in January 2025.
Kentucky is a case in point. Trump began his second term with a net approval rating of +23 points in The Bluegrass State, but that advantage has now effectively disappeared, leaving the state sitting around break even.
The same pattern can be found elsewhere across Republican America. Wyoming remains Trump’s strongest state and places like North Dakota, South Dakota and West Virginia still give him positive ratings, but the margins are far smaller than they were a year and a half ago.
That doesn’t mean that all red states have suddenly turned completely against Trump. It does, however, suggest that some of the enthusiasm that greeted his return to power has cooled, even in parts of the country that remain broadly supportive.
The shifts become even more interesting when attention turns to the states that tend to decide elections.
A drop in Wyoming may grab fewer headlines, but movement in Florida, Pennsylvania or Ohio has far bigger political consequences.
Florida has gone from a positive net approval rating of +9 to -13. Ohio has slipped from +8 to -14, while Pennsylvania has moved from -3 to -17.
Nevada has fallen from level territory to -20, while North Carolina has dropped from 0 to -15. Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan and Georgia all currently show Trump with negative approval ratings too.
Taken individually, none of those figures spell political disaster for Donald Trump. Together, though, they point in the same direction, with the POTUS now underwater across much of the battleground map.